Grasslands accurately track climate change effects instantaneously in real time

Drone pic of imported grasslands, 100 m altitude, California

The ability to track changes in the biotic environment due to climate change is crucial in order to better understand, predict, and plan mitigation strategies against it.

Unfortunately, previous studies on forests and various types of ecosystems have proven somewhat uninformative, with conflicting results being obtained, or with the resulting effects lagging behind the changes. In the case of the latter, for example, changes in temperature and precipitation do not cause immediate changes in forested habitats.

A new study that just came out found out that this was not the case for grasslands in California (Zhu et al, 2024). In this case, the changes in vegetation occurred almost instantaneously along with historical changes in precipitation and temperature.



Avena fatua

The study looked at climate and ecological data for 12 observed sites over several decades in a coastal region called the California Floristic Province, which stretches from Santa Barbara in California, to Northern Baja California in Mexico. The ecological niches of plant species within the study sites were determined, and the proportion of each species in the areas were observed over time as the temperature and precipitation amount changed. In addition, the study used experimental data to show that any changes to the ecological composition was due to changes in the climate.

They found that as the climate became hotter and drier over the years, that the composition of the species in the grasslands varied dramatically to track the changes. Species that preferred higher temperatures and less precipitation increased in percentage even as other species that had evolved for lower temperatures and more precipitation decreased. More importantly, they found out that the ecological changes in these grasslands happened at the same pace as the changes in climate!



Hordeum sp

If such rapid changes in floristic composition due to climate changes can also be shown to happen in other grassland habitats, then not only will this be strong evidence about the effects of climate change, but researchers will gain the ability to monitor its effects on ecological systems in real time.

All thanks to grasslands!

Literature Cited

Zhu, K., Song, Y., Lesage, J.C. et al. Rapid shifts in grassland communities driven by climate change. Nat Ecol Evol (2024). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-024-02552-z

4 responses to “Grasslands accurately track climate change effects instantaneously in real time”

  1. Hollis Avatar
    Hollis

    I presume this is due to shorter lifespans, especially in grasslands in that part of CA (rich in annuals) … ? If so, there may be shorter term variability that needs to be factored out, as is done in showing climate change. Not sure several decades is long enough.

  2. Harry Avatar
    Harry

    The study also used the results from 4 experimental studies (one lasting 16 years) to bolster their conclusions. And yeah, the shorter lifespans would be one factor there. Here is link to the article.

    https://www.nature.com/articles/s41559-024-02552-z

  3. Hollis Avatar
    Hollis

    Thanks. btw, is there a reason we can’t click to track comments?

    1. Harry Avatar
      Harry

      It might be some option here. I’m still trying to figure it out 😉

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